A round-up of the media coverage of the mathematical algorithm created by Tom to try to predict the next GOAT after Messi and Ronaldo. Full mathematical explanation in the YouTube video below.
Mathematical Analysis Summary
Full details are found in the second part of the YouTube video above, but here are the key steps:
- Based on their careers so far, each player was scored in 5 categories: goals, assists, club titles, international titles, and individual awards.
- By looking at the accumulation of points year on year, each player was identified with one of two GOAT curves: the Messi curve with consistent scoring each year (usually due to breaking through at a ‘big club’), or the Ronaldo curve with a slow start followed by a sharp increase (usually due to moving to a bigger club).
- The curve was extended into the future via a statistical analysis with a 95% confidence interval. This provides an expected career score with lower and upper bounds.
- The average of the upper and lower bounds was used to generate the final score.
Top 5 Countdown
News outlets covering the story
TOM ROCKS MATHS 